Today's board
Markets & outcomes currently held by multiple profitable Polymarket traders.
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Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.
| Market / Outcome | Score | Confidence | Edge / EV | Aligned | Price | Total Value | Ends | Traders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? AI read — unlock | 71 | High | +2% EV +2 pts edge ¼-Kelly 3.6%est. | 3 🐋 1 whale | 86¢ 1.2× payout | $59.9K | Nov 3, 2026 | 3 traders — unlock |
71 | Medium | -1% EV +0 pts edge | 4 🐋 2 whales | 80¢ 1.3× payout | $514.7K | Jan 1, 2027 | 4 traders — unlock | |
67 | High | +0% EV +0 pts edge ¼-Kelly 1.7%est. | 9 🐋 5 whales | 94¢ 1.1× payout | $689.6K | Dec 31, 2026 | 9 traders — unlock | |
62 | High | +0% EV +0 pts edge ¼-Kelly 0.9%est. | 2 🐋 1 whale | 93¢ 1.1× payout | $62.8K | Dec 31, 2026 | 2 traders — unlock |
12 more aligned markets waiting
You're seeing the top 4 of 16. Unlock every alignment — plus the exact traders behind each outcome and the AI read on why they're aligned.
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Watchlist — thin backing
Multiple tracked traders agree here too, but with little combined capital committed. Worth watching, not conviction — treat these as early leads.
| Market / Outcome | Score | Confidence | Edge / EV | Aligned | Price | Total Value | Ends | Traders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
56 | High | +1% EV +1 pts edge ¼-Kelly 0.5%est. | 2 | 62¢ 1.6× payout | $5.1K | Aug 17, 2026 | 2 traders — unlock | |
54 | Medium | +5% EV +2 pts edge ¼-Kelly 0.7%est. | 2 | 36¢ 2.8× payout | $3.3K | Oct 7, 2026 | 2 traders — unlock | |
53 | Medium | +1% EV +1 pts edge ¼-Kelly 0.5%est. | 2 | 57¢ 1.7× payout | $3.6K | Aug 31, 2026 | 2 traders — unlock | |
47 | Medium | +1% EV +1 pts edge ¼-Kelly 0.4%est. | 2 | 55¢ 1.8× payout | $7.3K | Mar 14, 2027 | 2 traders — unlock |
1 more aligned market waiting
You're seeing the top 4 of 5. Unlock every alignment — plus the exact traders behind each outcome and the AI read on why they're aligned.
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