Aligned positions
Markets & outcomes currently held by multiple profitable Polymarket traders.
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Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.
2026 World Cup — who smart money is backing
Profitable traders hold several contenders as a futures portfolio, so this is the consensus favorites ranking by capital committed — not a single pick.
- 1Argentina🐋 414 aligned · $1.7M committed12%implied
- 2France🐋 615 aligned · $1.3M committed20%implied
- 3England🐋 512 aligned · $466.6K committed13%implied
- 4Brazil🐋 412 aligned · $434.3K committed6%implied
- 5Spain🐋 611 aligned · $395.7K committed14%implied
- 6Germany🐋 214 aligned · $162.9K committed5%implied
- 7Netherlands🐋 312 aligned · $142.5K committed6%implied
- 8Portugal🐋 114 aligned · $101.2K committed7%implied
2026 World Series — who smart money is backing
Profitable traders hold several contenders as a futures portfolio, so this is the consensus favorites ranking by capital committed — not a single pick.
- 1Los Angeles Dodgers2 aligned · $13.9K committed29%implied
- 2New York Yankees2 aligned · $5.2K committed14%implied
- 3Seattle Mariners2 aligned · $3.3K committed6%implied
- 4Atlanta Braves2 aligned · $1.6K committed10%implied
- 5Milwaukee Brewers2 aligned · $1.4K committed7%implied
| Market / Outcome | Score | Confidence | Edge / EV | Aligned | Price | Total Value | Ends | Traders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
87 | Very High | +1% EV +1 pts edge | 5 🐋 2 whales | 94¢ | $141K | Jun 23, 2026 | 5 traders — unlock | |
83 | Very High | +49% EV +7 pts edge | 5 | 15¢ | $30.1K | Nov 7, 2028 | 5 traders — unlock | |
83 | Very High | +80% EV +8 pts edge | 6 | 9¢ | $18.7K | Nov 7, 2028 | 6 traders — unlock | |
83 | Very High | +131% EV +8 pts edge | 7 | 6¢ | $16.5K | Nov 7, 2028 | 7 traders — unlock |
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