Today's board
Markets & outcomes currently held by multiple profitable Polymarket traders.
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Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.
Why aligned?
Four traders including rank-8 Anjun hold $99K on Bitcoin not dipping to $45K, with price at 0.75 above their 0.70 average entry. Computed edge is minimal at 1 point and 2% EV, and a year-long window leaves room for a deep crypto drawdown.
Show 4
- JnStTrdrBnusFnd🐋#40$280.4K
- 0x43372356634781eea88d61bbdd7824cdce958882$21.5K
- 0xcc500cbcc8b7cf5bd21975ebbea34f21b5644c82$14.1K
- 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7$2.8K
| Market / Outcome | Score | Confidence | Edge / EV | Aligned | Price | Total Value | Ends | Traders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Today's free unlock — full Pro view Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Why aligned?Four traders including rank-8 Anjun hold $99K on Bitcoin not dipping to $45K, with price at 0.75 above their 0.70 average entry. Computed edge is minimal at 1 point and 2% EV, and a year-long window leaves room for a deep crypto drawdown. | 80 | High | +2% EV +1 pts edge ¼-Kelly 1.7%est. | 4 🐋 1 whale | 80¢ 1.3× payout | $318.8K | Jan 1, 2027 | Show 4
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82 | Very High | +10% EV +4 pts edge ¼-Kelly 1.8%est. | 2 🐋 1 whale | 41¢ 2.5× payout | $233.8K | Jan 1, 2027 | 2 traders — unlock | |
81 | Very High | +5% EV +3 pts edge ¼-Kelly 2.0%est. | 2 🐋 1 whale | 63¢ 1.6× payout | $321.1K | Jan 1, 2027 | 2 traders — unlock | |
78 | Very High | +3% EV +2 pts edge ¼-Kelly 4.0%est. | 2 🐋 1 whale | 86¢ 1.2× payout | $162.9K | Jan 1, 2027 | 2 traders — unlock |
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