elmcap2

0xed10…d2e5

Record: 57–24; won–lost
Hit rate: 70%; of settled bets
Settled bets: 81; won or lost
Last settled: Nov 4, 2026

Open bets awaiting resolution:32

Pro

By category

settled only

Sports47 won, 22 lost68% hit rate
Politics6 won, 1 lost86% hit rate
Other3 won, 1 lost75% hit rate
Economy

Settled bets

newest first

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
🏛️Nov 4, 2026
Won
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Yes
🏛️

Open bets

32 open bets awaiting resolution — which markets, entry and size are Pro.

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Recent fills

last 7 days

This trader's fills from the last 7 days are Pro.

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How this record is kept

A trader earns an attribution the moment they appear inside an alignment Aligned surfaces — logged at their own entry price, no hindsight.
Only settled markets count. When a market officially resolves, each attributed trader takes a personal win or loss; voided markets are listed but left out of the record.
Bench traders — wallets still being evaluated in the background — are never shown here or anywhere public.

Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.

100%

Nov 4, 2026

Won

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?