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Track record
Politics
Settled
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Won
Aligned on:
Yes
Final
- Result
- Won
- The market resolved for Yes.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Aligned's price when it first surfaced this outcome
- Return
- +77%
- If bought at the entry price and held to settlement
- Entry score
- 78Very High
- Score and confidence when it surfaced
- Traders
- 6 → 17
- At entry → at peak
- Surfaced
- Settled
Price history
Show the data (2 snapshots)
| When (ET) | Price | Traders | Capital |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 6:29 PM | 70¢ | 17 | $1.6M |
| Oct 25, 1:33 PM | 18¢ | 8 | $126K |
Price of Yes at each board refresh. Snapshots are kept for 30 days. The dashed line is Aligned's entry price.
Who's in it
54 won · 0 lost
Every tracked trader attributed to this bet while it was on the board, and how it went for each. Traders come and go, so this can be more than the peak count at any one moment.
Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.