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Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? — No · Aligned

Politics

Settled

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Won

Aligned on:

Final

v2 method

Result: Won; The market resolved for No.
Entry price: 85¢; Aligned's price when it first surfaced this outcome
Return: +18%; If bought at the entry price and held to settlement
Entry score: 66
High; Score and confidence when it surfaced
Traders: 2 → 5; At entry → at peak
Surfaced: Oct 4
Settled: Oct 31

Price history

Breaks in the line are stretches when this bet was off the board and no price was recorded.

Show the data (116 snapshots)

When (ET)	Price	Traders	Capital
Oct 27, 6:31 PM	90¢	4	$82.4K
Oct 27, 10:04 AM	95¢	5	$67.7K
Oct 27, 8:44 AM	93¢	5	$66.3K
Oct 27, 2:43 AM	93¢	4	$54.6K
Oct 26, 9:20 PM	92¢	4	$52.5K
Oct 26, 5:54 PM	92¢	4	$52.3K
Oct 26, 1:34 PM	92¢	5	$56.2K
Oct 26, 10:55 AM	92¢	5	$56.2K
Oct 26, 7:26 AM	91¢	4	$51.6K
Oct 26, 1:23 AM	91¢	3	$50.9K
Oct 25, 8:39 PM	89¢	4	$50.8K
Oct 25, 6:29 PM	92¢	2	$41.7K
Oct 25, 3:59 PM	92¢	2	$41.9K
Oct 25, 1:33 PM	93¢	2	$42.3K
Oct 25, 9:56 AM	92¢	2	$41.6K
Oct 25, 9:01 AM	92¢	2	$41.6K
Oct 25, 5:40 AM	93¢	2	$42K
Oct 25, 12:51 AM	92¢	2	$41.8K
Oct 24, 8:12 PM	92¢	3	$42.7K
Oct 24, 5:56 PM	92¢	3	$36.6K
Oct 24, 3:30 PM	92¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 24, 1:00 PM	92¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 24, 9:37 AM	94¢	3	$37.4K
Oct 24, 8:30 AM	94¢	3	$37.4K
Oct 24, 5:35 AM	94¢	3	$37.4K
Oct 24, 1:07 AM	93¢	3	$37K
Oct 23, 8:45 PM	93¢	3	$37K
Oct 23, 6:02 PM	93¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 23, 3:00 PM	93¢	3	$61K
Oct 23, 10:54 AM	93¢	2	$35.9K
Oct 23, 9:09 AM	94¢	2	$36K
Oct 23, 5:56 AM	93¢	2	$35.7K
Oct 23, 12:59 AM	93¢	2	$35.7K
Oct 22, 8:11 PM	93¢	2	$35.7K
Oct 22, 5:39 PM	94¢	2	$36K
Oct 22, 2:00 PM	93¢	3	$36.9K
Oct 22, 9:33 AM	93¢	2	$35.7K
Oct 22, 9:08 AM	93¢	2	$35.7K
Oct 22, 3:26 AM	93¢	2	$35.7K
Oct 21, 9:56 PM	93¢	2	$35.9K
Oct 21, 7:41 PM	93¢	2	$35.9K
Oct 21, 4:33 PM	93¢	2	$35.7K
Oct 21, 12:59 PM	94¢	3	$46K
Oct 21, 9:32 AM	93¢	2	$35.9K
Oct 21, 7:54 AM	94¢	2	$36K
Oct 20, 6:42 PM	93¢	2	$38.2K
Oct 20, 3:31 PM	94¢	2	$38.6K
Oct 20, 11:18 AM	91¢	2	$37.4K
Oct 20, 9:24 AM	91¢	2	$37.4K
Oct 20, 6:20 AM	92¢	2	$37.8K
Oct 20, 1:24 AM	91¢	2	$37.6K
Oct 19, 8:43 PM	92¢	2	$31.1K
Oct 19, 5:43 PM	92¢	2	$31.1K
Oct 19, 1:30 PM	93¢	2	$35.3K
Oct 19, 11:21 AM	92¢	2	$35.2K
Oct 19, 7:07 AM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 19, 1:22 AM	95¢	2	$36.1K
Oct 18, 8:32 PM	93¢	2	$35.3K
Oct 18, 6:33 PM	93¢	2	$35.3K
Oct 18, 4:29 PM	93¢	2	$35.3K
Oct 18, 1:56 PM	92¢	2	$35.2K
Oct 18, 10:53 AM	93¢	2	$35.3K
Oct 18, 8:30 AM	93¢	2	$35.3K
Oct 18, 7:45 AM	93¢	2	$35.3K
Oct 18, 2:31 AM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 17, 9:28 PM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 17, 7:29 PM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 17, 5:41 PM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 17, 3:29 PM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 17, 1:14 PM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 17, 10:07 AM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 17, 8:01 AM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 17, 6:48 AM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 17, 2:04 AM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 16, 9:28 PM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 16, 7:26 PM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 16, 4:56 PM	92¢	2	$35K
Oct 16, 1:57 PM	90¢	2	$27.2K
Oct 16, 9:59 AM	90¢	2	$27.2K
Oct 16, 9:04 AM	90¢	2	$27.2K
Oct 16, 5:03 AM	91¢	2	$27.5K
Oct 16, 12:05 AM	90¢	2	$27.2K
Oct 15, 7:53 PM	90¢	2	$27.2K
Oct 15, 5:40 PM	90¢	2	$27.2K
Oct 15, 2:21 PM	90¢	2	$29.5K
Oct 15, 10:11 AM	90¢	2	$29.5K
Oct 15, 9:09 AM	90¢	2	$29.5K
Oct 15, 5:11 AM	90¢	2	$29.5K
Oct 15, 12:09 AM	90¢	2	$29.5K
Oct 14, 7:52 PM	89¢	2	$29.3K
Oct 14, 1:31 PM	90¢	2	$29.7K
Oct 14, 9:23 AM	90¢	2	$29.5K
Oct 14, 8:26 AM	90¢	2	$29.7K
Oct 14, 2:36 AM	90¢	2	$29.7K
Oct 13, 9:25 PM	89¢	2	$29.3K
Oct 11, 8:01 PM	88¢	2	$29K
Oct 11, 4:38 PM	88¢	2	$29K
Oct 11, 12:44 PM	89¢	2	$29.2K
Oct 11, 10:44 AM	89¢	2	$29.2K
Oct 11, 7:28 AM	88¢	2	$29K
Oct 11, 1:14 AM	88¢	3	$39.3K
Oct 10, 7:45 PM	88¢	3	$39.3K
Oct 10, 4:16 PM	88¢	3	$39.3K
Oct 10, 12:20 PM	89¢	3	$40K
Oct 10, 10:18 AM	89¢	3	$40K
Oct 10, 7:19 AM	88¢	3	$39.3K
Oct 10, 1:24 AM	88¢	3	$39.3K
Oct 9, 7:55 PM	88¢	3	$39.3K
Oct 9, 3:49 PM	88¢	3	$39.3K
Oct 9, 11:02 AM	88¢	3	$39.3K
Oct 9, 10:34 AM	88¢	3	$39.3K
Oct 9, 3:25 AM	86¢	3	$38.5K
Oct 8, 9:06 PM	86¢	3	$38.4K
Oct 8, 4:51 PM	86¢	3	$37.2K
Oct 8, 11:39 AM	86¢	3	$34.2K
Oct 8, 11:18 AM	86¢	3	$34.2K

Who's in it

8 won · 0 lost

Every tracked trader attributed to this bet while it was on the board, and how it went for each. Traders come and go, so this can be more than the peak count at any one moment.

Smart-money fills

Every fill tracked traders made on this market in the last 7 days, with names and size, is Pro.

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