Aligned

Disclaimer: Analytics only — not financial advice. No outcome is guaranteed. Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? — Yes · Aligned

Track record

🏛️ Politics

Settled

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

Won

Aligned on:

Yes

Final

v2 method

Result: Won; The market resolved for Yes.
Entry price: 43¢; Aligned's price when it first surfaced this outcome
Return: +135%; If bought at the entry price and held to settlement
Entry score: 68
High; Score and confidence when it surfaced
Traders: 2 → 5; At entry → at peak
Surfaced: Jul 20
Settled: Aug 12

Price history

No price history for this bet. Aligned keeps 30 days of snapshots, and only while a bet is on the board.

Who's in it

14 won · 0 lost

Every tracked trader attributed to this bet while it was on the board, and how it went for each. Traders come and go, so this can be more than the peak count at any one moment.

8dcc906a9b
Won
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Won

View on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.

eCash

Won