Aligned

Disclaimer: Analytics only — not financial advice. No outcome is guaranteed. Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? — Yes · Aligned

Track record

🏛️ Politics

Settled

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Won

Aligned on:

Yes

Final

v2 method

Result: Won; The market resolved for Yes.
Entry price: 88¢; Aligned's price when it first surfaced this outcome
Return: +14%; If bought at the entry price and held to settlement
Entry score: 43
Medium; Score and confidence when it surfaced
Traders: 2 → 2; At entry → at peak
Surfaced: Jul 20
Settled: Aug 19

Price history

No price history for this bet. Aligned keeps 30 days of snapshots, and only while a bet is on the board.

Who's in it

2 won · 0 lost

Every tracked trader attributed to this bet while it was on the board, and how it went for each. Traders come and go, so this can be more than the peak count at any one moment.

R79dgahr
Won
0x7c3d…5c6b
Won

Each trader's entry price is Pro.Unlock — free first month

View on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.