Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Lost

Aligned on:

Final

v2 method

Result: Lost; The market resolved against No.
Entry price: 48¢; Aligned's price when it first surfaced this outcome
Return: −100%; If bought at the entry price and held to settlement
Entry score: 48
Low; Score and confidence when it surfaced
Traders: 2 → 5; At entry → at peak
Surfaced: Oct 3
Settled: Nov 4

Price history

Breaks in the line are stretches when this bet was off the board and no price was recorded.

Show the data (90 snapshots)

When (ET)	Price	Traders	Capital
Nov 2, 12:55 PM	25¢	5	$32.5K
Nov 1, 1:40 AM	22¢	4	$23.2K
Oct 26, 1:23 AM	32¢	2	$3.7K
Oct 25, 6:29 PM	32¢	2	$3.7K
Oct 25, 3:59 PM	32¢	2	$3.7K
Oct 25, 1:33 PM	32¢	2	$3.7K
Oct 25, 9:56 AM	32¢	2	$3.7K
Oct 25, 9:01 AM	32¢	2	$3.7K
Oct 25, 5:40 AM	32¢	2	$3.7K
Oct 25, 12:51 AM	32¢	2	$3.8K
Oct 24, 8:12 PM	33¢	2	$3.8K
Oct 24, 5:56 PM	33¢	2	$3.8K
Oct 24, 3:30 PM	33¢	2	$3.8K
Oct 24, 9:37 AM	33¢	2	$3.8K
Oct 24, 8:30 AM	33¢	2	$3.8K
Oct 24, 5:35 AM	33¢	2	$3.8K
Oct 24, 1:07 AM	33¢	2	$3.8K
Oct 23, 8:45 PM	33¢	2	$3.8K
Oct 23, 6:02 PM	33¢	2	$3.8K
Oct 23, 3:00 PM	33¢	3	$7.8K
Oct 23, 10:54 AM	33¢	3	$7.9K
Oct 23, 9:09 AM	34¢	3	$8.1K
Oct 23, 5:56 AM	34¢	3	$8K
Oct 23, 12:59 AM	34¢	3	$8K
Oct 22, 8:11 PM	34¢	2	$3.9K
Oct 22, 5:39 PM	34¢	2	$3.9K
Oct 22, 2:00 PM	34¢	2	$3.9K
Oct 22, 9:33 AM	34¢	2	$3.9K
Oct 22, 9:08 AM	34¢	2	$3.9K
Oct 22, 3:26 AM	35¢	2	$4.1K
Oct 21, 9:56 PM	35¢	2	$4.1K
Oct 21, 7:41 PM	35¢	2	$4.1K
Oct 21, 4:33 PM	35¢	2	$4.1K
Oct 21, 12:59 PM	34¢	2	$3.9K
Oct 21, 9:32 AM	40¢	2	$2.9K
Oct 21, 7:54 AM	40¢	2	$2.9K
Oct 21, 2:04 AM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 20, 9:02 PM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 20, 6:42 PM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 20, 3:31 PM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 20, 11:18 AM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 20, 9:24 AM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 20, 6:20 AM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 20, 1:24 AM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 19, 8:43 PM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 19, 5:43 PM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 19, 1:30 PM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 19, 11:21 AM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 19, 7:07 AM	43¢	2	$3K
Oct 19, 1:22 AM	43¢	2	$3K
Oct 18, 8:32 PM	43¢	2	$3K
Oct 18, 6:33 PM	43¢	2	$3K
Oct 18, 4:29 PM	43¢	2	$3K
Oct 18, 1:56 PM	43¢	2	$3K
Oct 18, 10:53 AM	43¢	2	$3K
Oct 18, 8:30 AM	43¢	2	$3K
Oct 18, 7:45 AM	43¢	2	$3K
Oct 18, 2:31 AM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 17, 9:28 PM	42¢	2	$3K
Oct 17, 7:29 PM	42¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 17, 5:41 PM	42¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 17, 3:29 PM	42¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 17, 1:14 PM	43¢	2	$2.5K
Oct 17, 10:07 AM	46¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 17, 8:01 AM	46¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 17, 6:48 AM	46¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 17, 2:04 AM	47¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 16, 9:28 PM	47¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 16, 7:26 PM	47¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 16, 4:56 PM	47¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 16, 1:57 PM	47¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 16, 9:59 AM	48¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 16, 9:04 AM	48¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 16, 5:03 AM	48¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 16, 12:05 AM	47¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 15, 7:53 PM	47¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 15, 5:40 PM	48¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 15, 2:21 PM	48¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 15, 10:11 AM	48¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 15, 9:09 AM	48¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 15, 5:11 AM	48¢	2	$2.9K
Oct 15, 12:09 AM	47¢	2	$2.8K
Oct 14, 4:59 PM	49¢	2	$2.9K
Oct 14, 1:31 PM	46¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 14, 9:23 AM	46¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 14, 8:26 AM	46¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 14, 2:36 AM	46¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 13, 9:25 PM	46¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 13, 6:30 PM	46¢	2	$2.7K
Oct 13, 1:49 PM	46¢	2	$2.7K

Who's in it

0 won · 6 lost

Every tracked trader attributed to this bet while it was on the board, and how it went for each. Traders come and go, so this can be more than the peak count at any one moment.

Smart-money fills

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Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.