Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Won

Aligned on:

Final

v2 method

Result: Won; The market resolved for No.
Entry price: 69¢; Aligned's price when it first surfaced this outcome
Return: +46%; If bought at the entry price and held to settlement
Entry score: 71
High; Score and confidence when it surfaced
Traders: 2 → 4; At entry → at peak
Surfaced: Sep 24
Settled: Nov 4

Price history

Breaks in the line are stretches when this bet was off the board and no price was recorded.

Show the data (123 snapshots)

When (ET)	Price	Traders	Capital
Oct 29, 9:33 AM	71¢	2	$35.2K
Oct 29, 2:18 AM	71¢	2	$35.2K
Oct 28, 8:16 PM	71¢	2	$35.4K
Oct 28, 4:18 PM	72¢	2	$35.9K
Oct 28, 4:09 AM	72¢	3	$37.2K
Oct 26, 1:23 AM	73¢	3	$37.4K
Oct 25, 6:29 PM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 25, 3:59 PM	75¢	3	$37.3K
Oct 25, 1:33 PM	76¢	3	$37.8K
Oct 25, 9:56 AM	76¢	3	$37.8K
Oct 25, 9:01 AM	76¢	3	$37.8K
Oct 25, 5:40 AM	76¢	3	$37.8K
Oct 25, 12:51 AM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 24, 8:12 PM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 24, 5:56 PM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 24, 3:30 PM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 24, 1:00 PM	74¢	2	$35.6K
Oct 24, 9:37 AM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 24, 8:30 AM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 24, 5:35 AM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 24, 1:07 AM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 23, 8:45 PM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 23, 6:02 PM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 23, 3:00 PM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 23, 10:54 AM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 23, 9:09 AM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 23, 5:56 AM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 23, 12:59 AM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 22, 8:11 PM	74¢	3	$36.8K
Oct 22, 5:39 PM	73¢	3	$36.6K
Oct 22, 2:00 PM	73¢	3	$33.9K
Oct 22, 9:33 AM	72¢	3	$33.4K
Oct 22, 9:08 AM	72¢	3	$33.4K
Oct 22, 3:26 AM	71¢	3	$33K
Oct 21, 9:56 PM	71¢	3	$33K
Oct 21, 7:41 PM	70¢	3	$32.7K
Oct 21, 4:33 PM	70¢	3	$21.1K
Oct 21, 12:59 PM	71¢	4	$34.1K
Oct 21, 9:32 AM	72¢	3	$33.4K
Oct 21, 7:54 AM	72¢	3	$33.4K
Oct 21, 2:04 AM	72¢	3	$33.4K
Oct 20, 9:02 PM	72¢	3	$33.4K
Oct 20, 6:42 PM	72¢	3	$33.4K
Oct 20, 3:31 PM	72¢	3	$33.6K
Oct 20, 11:18 AM	72¢	3	$33.4K
Oct 20, 9:24 AM	72¢	3	$33.4K
Oct 20, 6:20 AM	71¢	3	$32.9K
Oct 20, 1:24 AM	71¢	3	$32.9K
Oct 19, 8:43 PM	71¢	3	$28K
Oct 19, 5:43 PM	71¢	3	$28K
Oct 19, 1:30 PM	71¢	3	$28K
Oct 19, 11:21 AM	71¢	4	$29.3K
Oct 19, 7:07 AM	71¢	3	$28K
Oct 19, 1:22 AM	71¢	3	$28K
Oct 18, 8:32 PM	71¢	3	$28K
Oct 18, 6:33 PM	71¢	3	$28K
Oct 18, 4:29 PM	71¢	3	$28K
Oct 18, 1:56 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 18, 10:53 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 18, 8:30 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 18, 7:45 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 18, 2:31 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 17, 9:28 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 17, 7:29 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 17, 5:41 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 17, 3:29 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 17, 1:14 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 17, 10:07 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 17, 8:01 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 17, 6:48 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 17, 2:04 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 16, 9:28 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 16, 7:26 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 16, 4:56 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 16, 1:57 PM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 16, 9:59 AM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 16, 9:04 AM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 16, 5:03 AM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 16, 12:05 AM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 15, 7:53 PM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 15, 5:40 PM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 15, 2:21 PM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 15, 10:11 AM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 15, 9:09 AM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 15, 5:11 AM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 15, 12:09 AM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 14, 7:52 PM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 14, 4:59 PM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 14, 1:31 PM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 14, 9:23 AM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 14, 8:26 AM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 14, 2:36 AM	73¢	2	$14.3K
Oct 13, 9:25 PM	73¢	2	$14.6K
Oct 13, 6:30 PM	72¢	2	$14.4K
Oct 13, 1:49 PM	72¢	2	$14.9K
Oct 13, 11:39 AM	72¢	2	$14.9K
Oct 13, 6:44 AM	72¢	2	$14.9K
Oct 12, 11:12 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 12, 6:36 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 12, 1:29 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 12, 11:32 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 12, 2:03 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 11, 8:01 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 11, 4:38 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 11, 12:44 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 11, 10:44 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 11, 7:28 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 11, 1:14 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 10, 7:45 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 10, 4:16 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 10, 12:20 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 10, 10:18 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 10, 7:19 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 10, 1:24 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 9, 7:55 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 9, 3:49 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 9, 11:02 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 9, 10:34 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 9, 3:25 AM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 8, 9:06 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 8, 4:51 PM	72¢	2	$14.1K
Oct 8, 11:39 AM	72¢	3	$14.6K
Oct 8, 11:18 AM	72¢	3	$14.6K

Who's in it

9 won · 0 lost

Every tracked trader attributed to this bet while it was on the board, and how it went for each. Traders come and go, so this can be more than the peak count at any one moment.

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Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.