Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Won

Aligned on:

Yes

Final

v2 method

Result: Won; The market resolved for Yes.
Entry price: 91¢; Aligned's price when it first surfaced this outcome
Return: +10%; If bought at the entry price and held to settlement
Entry score: 48
Medium; Score and confidence when it surfaced
Traders: 2 → 4; At entry → at peak
Surfaced: Oct 2
Settled: Nov 4

Price history

Show the data (160 snapshots)

When (ET)	Price	Traders	Capital
Nov 2, 2:31 PM	94¢	3	$28.5K
Nov 2, 12:55 PM	94¢	3	$27.2K
Nov 2, 4:11 AM	95¢	3	$26.6K
Nov 1, 8:51 PM	94¢	3	$24.9K
Nov 1, 5:40 PM	94¢	2	$8.7K
Nov 1, 1:49 PM	94¢	2	$18.8K
Nov 1, 9:48 AM	93¢	2	$18.6K
Nov 1, 8:49 AM	93¢	2	$18.6K
Nov 1, 1:40 AM	93¢	2	$18.6K
Oct 31, 8:19 PM	93¢	2	$18.7K
Oct 31, 5:16 PM	93¢	2	$18.7K
Oct 31, 1:54 PM	93¢	2	$18.6K
Oct 31, 10:22 AM	93¢	3	$19.1K
Oct 31, 9:29 AM	93¢	3	$19.1K
Oct 31, 2:50 AM	93¢	2	$7.7K
Oct 30, 8:48 PM	92¢	3	$19.9K
Oct 30, 5:05 PM	92¢	3	$20K
Oct 30, 12:36 PM	92¢	3	$20.1K
Oct 30, 10:53 AM	92¢	3	$21.6K
Oct 30, 5:48 AM	91¢	3	$21.5K
Oct 29, 10:50 PM	91¢	4	$21.9K
Oct 29, 7:23 PM	92¢	4	$22.1K
Oct 29, 3:15 PM	91¢	4	$22K
Oct 29, 10:59 AM	92¢	4	$22.1K
Oct 29, 9:33 AM	92¢	3	$21.6K
Oct 29, 2:18 AM	91¢	3	$21.5K
Oct 28, 8:16 PM	91¢	3	$21.5K
Oct 28, 4:18 PM	91¢	3	$21.5K
Oct 28, 11:08 AM	92¢	4	$24.5K
Oct 28, 10:55 AM	92¢	4	$24.5K
Oct 28, 4:09 AM	86¢	3	$22.7K
Oct 27, 9:46 PM	86¢	4	$24.1K
Oct 27, 6:31 PM	86¢	4	$23.9K
Oct 27, 2:22 PM	86¢	4	$23.9K
Oct 27, 10:04 AM	86¢	4	$23.9K
Oct 27, 8:44 AM	86¢	4	$23.9K
Oct 27, 2:43 AM	86¢	4	$23.9K
Oct 26, 9:20 PM	86¢	4	$24.4K
Oct 26, 5:54 PM	86¢	4	$24.4K
Oct 26, 1:34 PM	86¢	4	$24.4K
Oct 26, 10:55 AM	86¢	4	$24.4K
Oct 26, 7:26 AM	86¢	4	$24.4K
Oct 26, 1:23 AM	86¢	2	$10K
Oct 25, 8:39 PM	86¢	4	$23K
Oct 25, 6:29 PM	86¢	2	$10.1K
Oct 25, 3:59 PM	86¢	2	$10K
Oct 25, 1:33 PM	86¢	2	$10K
Oct 25, 9:56 AM	86¢	2	$10K
Oct 25, 9:01 AM	86¢	2	$10K
Oct 25, 5:40 AM	86¢	2	$10K
Oct 25, 12:51 AM	86¢	3	$11.3K
Oct 24, 8:12 PM	86¢	3	$11.3K
Oct 24, 5:56 PM	87¢	3	$11.5K
Oct 24, 3:30 PM	86¢	3	$11.5K
Oct 24, 9:37 AM	87¢	3	$11.5K
Oct 24, 8:30 AM	87¢	3	$11.5K
Oct 24, 5:35 AM	88¢	3	$11.6K
Oct 24, 1:07 AM	87¢	3	$11.5K
Oct 23, 8:45 PM	87¢	3	$11.5K
Oct 23, 6:02 PM	88¢	3	$11.6K
Oct 23, 3:00 PM	87¢	3	$11.5K
Oct 23, 10:54 AM	86¢	3	$11.5K
Oct 23, 9:09 AM	86¢	3	$11.5K
Oct 23, 5:56 AM	88¢	3	$11.6K
Oct 23, 12:59 AM	88¢	3	$11.6K
Oct 22, 8:11 PM	89¢	3	$12.2K
Oct 22, 5:39 PM	89¢	3	$12.2K
Oct 22, 2:00 PM	89¢	3	$12.8K
Oct 22, 9:33 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 22, 9:08 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 22, 3:26 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 21, 9:56 PM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 21, 7:41 PM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 21, 4:33 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 21, 12:59 PM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 21, 9:32 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 21, 7:54 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 21, 2:04 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 20, 9:02 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 20, 6:42 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 20, 3:31 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 20, 11:18 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 20, 9:24 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 20, 6:20 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 20, 1:24 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 19, 8:43 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 19, 5:43 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 19, 1:30 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 19, 11:21 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 19, 7:07 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 19, 1:22 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 18, 8:32 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 18, 6:33 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 18, 4:29 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 18, 1:56 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 18, 10:53 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 18, 8:30 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 18, 7:45 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 18, 2:31 AM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 17, 9:28 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 17, 7:29 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 17, 5:41 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 17, 3:29 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 17, 1:14 PM	87¢	2	$10.9K
Oct 17, 10:07 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 17, 8:01 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 17, 6:48 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 17, 2:04 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 16, 9:28 PM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 16, 7:26 PM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 16, 4:56 PM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 16, 1:57 PM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 16, 9:59 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 16, 9:04 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 16, 5:03 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 16, 12:05 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 15, 7:53 PM	88¢	2	$11.2K
Oct 15, 5:40 PM	88¢	2	$11.2K
Oct 15, 2:21 PM	88¢	2	$11.1K
Oct 15, 10:11 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 15, 9:09 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 15, 5:11 AM	88¢	2	$11K
Oct 15, 12:09 AM	88¢	2	$11.2K
Oct 14, 7:52 PM	88¢	2	$11.2K
Oct 14, 4:59 PM	87¢	2	$11.1K
Oct 14, 1:31 PM	87¢	2	$11K
Oct 14, 9:23 AM	88¢	2	$11.2K
Oct 14, 8:26 AM	87¢	2	$11K
Oct 14, 2:36 AM	88¢	2	$11.2K
Oct 13, 9:25 PM	88¢	2	$11.3K
Oct 13, 6:30 PM	88¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 13, 1:49 PM	87¢	2	$11.3K
Oct 13, 11:39 AM	88¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 13, 6:44 AM	88¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 12, 11:12 PM	88¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 12, 6:36 PM	88¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 12, 1:29 PM	88¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 12, 11:32 AM	88¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 12, 2:03 AM	88¢	2	$11.6K
Oct 11, 8:01 PM	88¢	2	$11.6K
Oct 11, 4:38 PM	88¢	3	$16.9K
Oct 11, 12:44 PM	88¢	3	$16.9K
Oct 11, 10:44 AM	88¢	3	$16.9K
Oct 11, 7:28 AM	88¢	3	$16.9K
Oct 11, 1:14 AM	88¢	3	$16.9K
Oct 10, 7:45 PM	88¢	3	$16.9K
Oct 10, 4:16 PM	88¢	3	$16.9K
Oct 10, 12:20 PM	88¢	3	$16.9K
Oct 10, 10:18 AM	88¢	3	$16.6K
Oct 10, 7:19 AM	88¢	3	$16.6K
Oct 10, 1:24 AM	88¢	3	$16.4K
Oct 9, 7:55 PM	88¢	2	$11.7K
Oct 9, 3:49 PM	87¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 9, 11:02 AM	87¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 9, 10:34 AM	87¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 9, 3:25 AM	87¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 8, 9:06 PM	88¢	2	$11.7K
Oct 8, 4:51 PM	88¢	2	$11.7K
Oct 8, 11:39 AM	87¢	2	$11.5K
Oct 8, 11:18 AM	87¢	2	$11.5K

Who's in it

8 won · 0 lost

Every tracked trader attributed to this bet while it was on the board, and how it went for each. Traders come and go, so this can be more than the peak count at any one moment.

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Aligned is an analytics product. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. We surface publicly available, read-only information about how certain Polymarket traders are positioned. Past performance and current positioning do not guarantee future results. Markets can resolve against even the most profitable traders. Always do your own research. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.