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Track record
Politics
Settled
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Lost
Aligned on:
Yes
Final
v2 method
- Result
- Lost
- The market resolved against Yes.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Aligned's price when it first surfaced this outcome
- Return
- −100%
- If bought at the entry price and held to settlement
- Entry score
- 66High
- Score and confidence when it surfaced
- Traders
- 2 → 4
- At entry → at peak
- Surfaced
- Settled
Price history
Breaks in the line are stretches when this bet was off the board and no price was recorded.
Show the data (21 snapshots)
| When (ET) | Price | Traders | Capital |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2:22 PM | 50¢ | 4 | $31K |
| Oct 27, 10:04 AM | 46¢ | 4 | $28.2K |
| Oct 27, 8:44 AM | 46¢ | 4 | $28.2K |
| Oct 27, 2:43 AM | 42¢ | 4 | $26.1K |
| Oct 26, 9:20 PM | 41¢ | 4 | $25.4K |
| Oct 26, 5:54 PM | 43¢ | 4 | $26.4K |
| Oct 26, 1:34 PM | 45¢ | 4 | $25.9K |
| Oct 26, 10:55 AM | 45¢ | 4 | $25.7K |
| Oct 26, 7:26 AM | 43¢ | 4 | $24.8K |
| Oct 26, 1:23 AM | 42¢ | 4 | $23.9K |
| Oct 25, 8:39 PM | 38¢ | 4 | $18K |
| Oct 25, 6:29 PM | 34¢ | 2 | $6.5K |
| Oct 25, 3:59 PM | 35¢ | 2 | $6.6K |
| Oct 25, 1:33 PM | 45¢ | 2 | $8.5K |
| Oct 25, 9:56 AM | 41¢ | 2 | $7.7K |
| Oct 25, 9:01 AM | 41¢ | 2 | $7.8K |
| Oct 25, 5:40 AM | 47¢ | 2 | $8.9K |
| Oct 25, 12:51 AM | 44¢ | 2 | $8.4K |
| Oct 24, 8:12 PM | 44¢ | 2 | $8.3K |
| Oct 21, 12:59 PM | 42¢ | 2 | $7.1K |
| Oct 20, 6:42 PM | 46¢ | 2 | $7.8K |
Price of Yes at each board refresh. Snapshots are kept for 30 days. The dashed line is Aligned's entry price.
Who's in it
0 won · 4 lost
Every tracked trader attributed to this bet while it was on the board, and how it went for each. Traders come and go, so this can be more than the peak count at any one moment.
Smart-money fills
Every fill tracked traders made on this market in the last 7 days, with names and size, is Pro.
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