Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Won

Aligned on:

Final

v2 method

Result: Won; The market resolved for No.
Entry price: 88¢; Aligned's price when it first surfaced this outcome
Return: +14%; If bought at the entry price and held to settlement
Entry score: 57
High; Score and confidence when it surfaced
Traders: 2 → 4; At entry → at peak
Surfaced: Oct 25
Settled: Nov 4

Price history

Show the data (43 snapshots)

When (ET)	Price	Traders	Capital
Nov 2, 2:31 PM	88¢	2	$6.6K
Nov 2, 12:55 PM	88¢	2	$6.5K
Nov 2, 4:11 AM	88¢	2	$6.5K
Nov 1, 8:51 PM	86¢	2	$6.7K
Nov 1, 5:40 PM	86¢	2	$6.7K
Nov 1, 1:49 PM	86¢	2	$6.7K
Nov 1, 9:48 AM	86¢	2	$6.5K
Nov 1, 8:49 AM	86¢	2	$6.5K
Nov 1, 1:40 AM	87¢	2	$6.6K
Oct 31, 8:19 PM	86¢	2	$6.8K
Oct 31, 5:16 PM	86¢	2	$6.8K
Oct 31, 1:54 PM	86¢	2	$6.8K
Oct 31, 10:22 AM	86¢	2	$6.8K
Oct 31, 9:29 AM	86¢	2	$6.8K
Oct 31, 2:50 AM	86¢	2	$5.7K
Oct 30, 8:48 PM	87¢	2	$5.6K
Oct 30, 5:05 PM	87¢	2	$5.6K
Oct 30, 12:36 PM	88¢	2	$5.6K
Oct 30, 10:53 AM	87¢	2	$5.6K
Oct 30, 5:48 AM	87¢	2	$5.6K
Oct 29, 10:50 PM	87¢	2	$5.6K
Oct 29, 7:23 PM	86¢	3	$6.7K
Oct 29, 3:15 PM	84¢	4	$7.9K
Oct 29, 10:59 AM	84¢	3	$6.7K
Oct 29, 9:33 AM	84¢	2	$2K
Oct 29, 2:18 AM	84¢	2	$2K
Oct 28, 8:16 PM	84¢	2	$2K
Oct 28, 11:08 AM	85¢	3	$6.3K
Oct 28, 10:55 AM	85¢	3	$6.3K
Oct 28, 4:09 AM	85¢	2	$2K
Oct 27, 9:46 PM	85¢	3	$6.9K
Oct 27, 6:31 PM	84¢	3	$6.9K
Oct 27, 2:22 PM	85¢	3	$6.4K
Oct 27, 10:04 AM	85¢	3	$6.4K
Oct 27, 8:44 AM	85¢	3	$6.4K
Oct 27, 2:43 AM	86¢	3	$5.8K
Oct 26, 9:20 PM	86¢	3	$5.8K
Oct 26, 5:54 PM	86¢	3	$5.7K
Oct 26, 1:34 PM	86¢	3	$5.7K
Oct 26, 10:55 AM	86¢	3	$5.6K
Oct 26, 7:26 AM	86¢	3	$5.6K
Oct 26, 1:23 AM	86¢	2	$2.2K
Oct 25, 8:39 PM	88¢	2	$3.9K

Price of No at each board refresh. Snapshots are kept for 30 days. The dashed line is Aligned's entry price.

Who's in it

4 won · 0 lost

Every tracked trader attributed to this bet while it was on the board, and how it went for each. Traders come and go, so this can be more than the peak count at any one moment.

Smart-money fills

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